I agree with the end of your comment @etka.
This is where I feel the limitations of TA begin to show.
I believe that TA becomes more and more powerful as a predictive tool, the more liquid and more diverse the participants of a market become.
At the moment this is not the case with Bitcoin or cryptos in general.
In fact a strengthening case can be made that no markets exhibit these 2 traits which could lead to the conclusion that TA is becoming more and more irrelevant as we get into the 2,3, and above sigma events rattling the market.
My memory is drawn to the VIX volatility spike we had at the beginning of Feb 2018. Over a 5 sigma event! i.e. exceedingly rare and unexpected.
My feeling is that we are entereing a phase of general financial outlier events. These events will compound eachother creating cascades of extreme events. Since TA looks at patterns and tries to push forward previous patterns to have a better than even chance at predicting the future, such extreme events will negate much of the potency of TA.
Another was to put it, I will have to find another subject for my blog if I am right!
RE: Crypto update