Urban Drift : A Worrying Trend — The physical structure of cities will simultaneously grow more sprawled and crowded, and the living conditions in cities will become much hotter, drier, contagious, insecure, and conflictive

The chances are you live in a city. Indeed, the chances are 4:1 or more that you live in or close to a city/urban center.

This wasn’t always the case. If we go back a couple of hundred years, in 1800, it is thought that only about 3% of the world’s population lived in urban areas.

Skip forward to 1900, and the number had risen to 14%, although most cities were small rather than big. There were only 12 cities in the world with populations greater than 1 million.

This evolution has continued, and at an accelerating pace. Just fifty years later, in 1950, 30% of the world’s population was in urban centers, and – notwithstanding the appalling destruction of cities throughout Europe and Asia during World War 2, there were now 83 cities with populations over 1 million people.

Zeroing in on the United States, we see an even greater trend towards urban living than in the world as a whole. It is hard to be absolutely exact – not only because the US Census Office has repeatedly changed its methodology and definition of what is a city or rural area, but also because we ourselves probably have differing views on the matter, too.

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