Sample Data comparison
Let me first make something abundantly clear. This is my blog. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
My blog is my home. In here, there is only one rule that goes.
Mine.
You are welcome to my home. However, you must show respect. This is not optional. If you do not show respect, and behave like an a'hole you are not welcome here. I will block you, mute you, and will not interact with you. I do not care what you think or do. You can go to hell! I write and interact with hive blockchain on my personal terms,
I do not have a project, I don't want anything. I don't want your money and I don't want your time. I am here to do community service with my stake and my time. I am financially free.
Generated by AI, DALLE-3;
Prompt: this is my weapon, there are many like it, but this one is mine western movie digital art
Ok, with that disclaimer out of the way, let we look at some 'active' Leo user data, shall we begin? Yesterday I published this post below, which had quite a lot of interactions.
@azircon/results-from-a-single-leo-thread
Here, I chose a random sample of a single leo thread, and extracted a list of unique users who commented on in. I plotted their hive and leo assets on a histogram, and scatter plot.
Aparently Leo people, there aren't too many, only Khal and perhaps Nomad, who commented as leo.voter got very uncomfortable. This is spammed into my blog many times. After that I blocked and muted the account for spam.
- I DID NOT cherry picked 125 random account. I picked a random thread, which is what you should do in conventional statistical analysis.
- I am not tying to represent LEO holders. I am trying to test my hyphothesis, which is
~57% of the 'active' Leo users hold less than 1 hive or 20 Leo worth of assets
This is my blog, and can have any hypothesis, and test that with any data. It's my choice. I am not asking for your permission Khal. Then he says:
I already answered, only I will add mind your own business Khal!
Then he adds:
Why do I care how much hive power Leo active users have? I am not interested in that data. I am interested in knowing ....again....so that it gets into the thick head of yours..
how many 'active' leo users hold less than 1 hive worth of assets
It is the opposite of what you are showing. Also thank you for comparing Leothreads with hospital. I agree with you there. It is a place of sick people and AI spam. I don't want to go there!
If you create a dashboard with all the data, I will say that will likely prove my hypothesis:
~57% of the 'active' Leo users hold less than 1 hive or 20 Leo worth of assets
Anyways, lets ignore Khal from our discussion for now. He is concerned and running around like headless chicken because he can't get the DHF funding that he was expecting! No SHIT!
But let me ask, I am a regular lowly hiver. I write when I feel like, I don't have any project, and I am not a witness. I am as average as it gets, so why an (self-proclaimed) APEX LION like Khal, who is ..... wait for it.....
Investor and business operator. Founder of the @inleo ecosystem. Our mission is to build a thriving creator economy centered around digital ownership, tokenization and communities
I wonder why such a busy guy, sorry enterprenuer, with such credential, was spamming my lowly blog? And then had time to make a 2 hours video of twitter (the shitpost heaven!) calling me stupid!
I hope he doesn't have daddy problems, because it sure look and sound like one!
Alright, I digress!
Histogram plot of two threads
My previous post looked into this random thread (125 accounts)
@leothreads/leothread-2025-02-02-12-35
Now I will compare it with this one (116 accounts)
@leothreads/leothread-2025-01-31-11-39
When I combine them, I get 195 unique accounts. 116 accounts hold less than 1 hive :) Or 59%. So when data is combined the ratio is getting worse. However, this maybe a sampling bias, at least I hope so. It will taper towards 57% I hope! Point is, lets say the real number is 50%, is that good? No! It's dismal. That is my point.
I already explained how I got this data at my previous post, so no need to repeat it here again.
I am going to argue that I do not see any visual difference between these two plots. I will show you the x-y scatterplot in a second and there you will see the same pattern. What I am trying to argue is that the behavior of these 'active' users are so predictable that there will not be any variation of pattern between their data when plotted consistently.
One of the argument against it is, the sample size is too small. Really? I have discussed on this post where I plotted 4349 active hive accounts, and their HP went down to 500 HP. I consider that HP to be too low to make any difference in the major activities in the blockchain. I also argued that that is probably about ~50% of all active hive users. So if, meaningingful total hive users are about 4000, then 400 user represents 10% of the population a very large sample size for any statistical analysis. If I do two of the threads and get about 200 (195 to be exact) unique accounts that is 5% of the population I care for. To me that is a decent sample size to predict the behavior of the population.
You don't agree? Don't. I don't care. Go do your own analysis, I can assure you that it will support my hypothesis.
What is that?
~57% of the 'active' Leo users hold less than 1 hive or 20 Leo worth of asset
I got to repeat it over and over again as Leo people are juvenile, and kids learn by repetition.
| Feb 3 Post, LeoThread 2025-02-02 12:35 | Feb 5 Post, LeoThread 2025-01-31 11:39 |
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I don't have to tell you that they look almost identical. If you think about what leo threads are, it should make sense. This pattern is what we expect.
- In Hive-Leo scatter plot, we should always expect 3 clusters.
- The guy I call neutron star, comments on every thread
- The regular folks, they are both in hive and leo, they like to interact
- The new users, threaders
- In Time - Leo plot, the threaders are showing up in a cluster around a recent time
- They will have no or little investment
This pattern will repeat over and over again, if you open any threads and all threads. In my mind this pattern is not the problem. The problem is, how little assets these threaders hold. They are about 57% and they hold no assets. Also this clustering pattern. I can potentially demonstrate that the time of the cluster will slowly change, but will always be at a narrow time for a particular thread.
So we are creating accounts. Making traffic. But not getting investments. Also we are not getting content creators. Do I care about how many account leo created? I DON'T.
Do I care about how much total hive active Leo community owners own? I DON'T.
As I said earlier, if a hive account holds less than 500 HP, its contribution to the blockchain is negligible. 500 HP = 10,000 LEO :) Yes, Leo is WORTHLESS.
Can I filter how many 'active' Leo accounts holds more than 10K Leo? I sure can. I will. That will be a different post.
I will see how many I get and I will find out about their hive etiquette:)
What good is a new account if that account doesn't invest and contribute to the ecosystem positively?
That is the question I will leave you with.
