Introduction
Hello everyone! Today, I'm excited to share my analysis of the Hive/USDT market. We're currently seeing a retracement to the $0.21 level, which presents an opportunity for a bounce or a continuation of the downward trend. However, considering the strong fundamentals of crypto, a downward trend is unlikely.
Market Overview
The market experienced a significant push upwards after the recent drop from $0.39 to $0.16 between May 10th and May 4th, 2024. Currently, the price is at $0.22, indicating a bullish trend in the long-term perspective.
My Analysis and Strategy
As a price action trader, I've identified a retracement opportunity after the price reached $0.23. My strategy is simple: I wait for the price to reach a specific zone and then analyze its next move based on lower highs and higher lows. In this case, I'm using the 1-hour timeframe to analyze the market.
My analysis begins with the initial stop of price, which is the higher top followed by a lower top. This indicates a slight consolidation, and I look for:
- Candles stopping their upward momentum
- Bearish marabouz (full red candlestick) at the lower top
- MA's crossover signaling selling pressure
Exit Plan and Next Steps
My exit point is the red line below, as shown in the image. If the price breaks the mid-level (blue line) and starts moving up, I'll consider re-entering the trade.
Conclusion
I hope this detailed explanation helps you understand my analysis and strategy. Follow me for more insights and trading tips. Thanks for reading!