This post is about the game #splinterlands that runs on the #hive #web3 platform where we monetize our content and play #play2earn! I invite you to learn more about it and join us!

The milestone was reached this week, and now I'm going to do a celebratory event in March! All my posts in March will be 100% Hive Power!

Today we're going to analyze #splinterlands battles, something I haven't done in a while. But during my daily gameplay, I ended up coming across a special situation that caught my attention. So I decided to write this post analyzing what happened and my perceptions about the gameplay and the probabilities involved.

The topic today is Evasion!

Evasion is the ability to evade, run away, dodge. In this sense, in the game it is the ability to avoid receiving an attack.

And to start talking about this ability, we will try to list the skills that are related. To do this, we will look for the information directly on the support.splinterlands.com website, which is publicly accessible and official.

Backfire	Blind	Phase	Dodge	Flying
When an enemy unit misses, deals 2 physical damage to them.	All enemy Melee & Ranged attacks have a 15% higher chance of missing their target. Blind also affects units with phase.	Magic attacks have the same chance to miss as physical attacks.	+25% chance to evade physical attacks.	+25% chance to evade physical attacks. No effect if the attacker also has Flying. Immune to Earthquake.

First, let's discard the Backfire ability because it is reactive, that is, it depends on you being able to evade to be activated. That's not what I want to talk about. Likewise, let's leave aside the Phase ability because it only adds to the ability to evade magical attacks. It doesn't interest us at the moment.

So, let's focus on the Blind, Dodge and Flying abilities. They modify a card's ability, increasing its probability of evading an attack. In this case, we have a 15% increase for the Blind ability and 25% for each of the Dodge and Flying abilities.

From the basic structure of the game, we know that speed is the attribute that defines the possibilities of evasion. In other words, the difference in speed between the attacking card and the defending card is decisive for the random possibilities of evasion. With higher speed, the defender has a greater chance of evasion.

The scenario we are going to analyze is this one.

There are only two cards with evasion-increasing abilities, and we are going to focus on just one of them, the Chaos Agent, a card that costs only one mana point and has no attack whatsoever. Its function is to make the opponent waste time eliminating it, while the rest of your team does the heavy lifting.

The first round has Gargoya Devil as its attack, which has 3 attack points and should be enough to hit and defeat Chaos Agent. Looking at the speed, the attacker has three points against the defender's two. Everything indicates that the attack will be accurate. But that doesn't happen, and the defender evades.