Ok I am not a financial expert by any means, in fact while I love those fancys grapths with trend lines and words like "breakthrough" I don't really understand much.
How I do understand a bit about human behaviour which is why i think things are going to be a nit silly for a bit
1. The Market Spread is Silly
Ok so yes we don't have much in the market yet buy already we can see the market does not know what to pay!
We can already see the market jumping 500% and back
Also we can see the sale and buy are real thin until you get to wall at 0.115 to sale and a buy wall at 0.05. This means we can see rapid movments both ways, for example with less then 2000 VYB I can dump the buy market from 0.05 to 0.03, just less then half the value.
The sell wall is a little stronger but buying 5000 VYB moves the prices 30% from .145 to 0.190
Also the spread is huge, sell for 0.145 and buy for 0.05 !
2. Everyone has some to dump
While this to me looks like the best airdrop approach I have seen to date, it was still based on a snapshot of POB and some work in self voting. This means some people who just bought for investment maybe tempted to just dump this investment.
Alternatively those heavily invested in POB may sell their VYB and invest back into POB, potentially doubling thier stake if prices hit right.
3. Unstaking is quick
Standard unstaking is 4 payments over 4 weeks, causing at least a 1 week delay before staked VYB would hit the market. However I have seen that VYB unstakes in 25 lots over 25 days which means VYB can turn liquid faster then normal.
So to be honest I would expect a dip then recover however alot of people got rich on POB so FOMO may drive the price up!