Hi Everyone,
Welcome to Part 2 of my five part series discussing the possible collapse of western civilisation, as we know it today.
Prior to the Covid-19 fiasco. There was no strong evidence to suggest an impending collapse in society. It looked more a slow decline, which could still be fixed with appropriate remedial action. Now, the situation looks considerably worse. Arguably, we may need to look towards rebuilding rather than prevention. In the long-run, this might be a better outcome. However, it is essential the rebuilding occurs from the bottom upwards and not dictated from the top downwards or by global organisations.
Before we can consider rebuilding, we need to understand how we have reached this dire position. In my post, Cost of Living Crisis – A Collection of Symptoms caused by Serious Long-term Political Failure, I discuss many of the problems that led up to the current cost of living crisis. In this series, I am focussing more on recent events and how they might be leading us in the direction of the deagel.com projections that I discussed in Part 1. I feel the best place to begin is with the Covid-19 fiasco.
Covid-19 Fiasco
In early 2020, we were led to believe that Covid-19 was the main threat to society. This would have been particularly likely, if Covid-19 had been a bioweapon created in a laboratory. As it turned out, Covid-19 was not much of threat to most people. The elderly with comorbidities were the most likely to die with Covid-19. Many of them died in care homes because of the excessive use of end of life drugs, removal from hospitals, do not resuscitate orders, and other forms of malpractice.
The underlying causes of these deaths were rarely Covid-19. In the UK, between March and September of 2020, the number of deaths from diabetes increased by 86%, prostate cancer deaths increased by 53%, Parkinson's deaths increased by 79%, breast cancer deaths increased by 47% and colorectal cancer deaths increased by 46% (Metro, October 20 2020).
Source: The Standard
The real threat from the Covid-19 fiasco was the responses to it. The lockdowns caused enormous economic and social harm. At the beginning of the fiasco, I discussed the potential for harm in my posts, Covid-19 - Part 5: Possible impact of Government Intervention on the economy and Covid-19 – Part 6: Expected Social Costs. The current cost of living crisis has been greatly fuelled by the months of lockdowns and for some countries over a year of restrictions that greatly harmed business operations and supply chains.
The lockdowns and the many other restrictions were not the worst of it. When Covid-19 was first declared a pandemic, the public were told several companies had begun work on vaccines to protect them from Covid-19. According to virologists such as Geert Vanden Bossche, the use of vaccinations was not the appropriate response to end a pandemic. Instead, the focus should have been on treatments. Vaccines should have been used as a measure to prevent future pandemics.
The timeframes projected for the development of these vaccines were absurd. Vaccines take decades to reach a point where they can be both safe and effective. However, the proclaimed Covid-19 vaccines were ready in less than a year. The public were told they were safe and effective. Many people were manipulated into taking them and others were coerced to do so. People were even told that their children should be forced to take these vaccines despite there being almost zero risk to them (Daily Sceptic).
The vaccines that were forced onto the public did not even work. They did stop infection. They did not stop the spread of disease. They did not stop the more serious symptoms of Covid-19. However, they appeared to prevent many of the minor symptoms. This resulted in more asymptomatic cases. Thus, infected people were less likely to avoid contact with others. This may have resulted in the increased spread of Covid-19. Even this protection, only lasted a few months. I know longer refer to them as vaccines. I consider them as jabs or shots. We could even argue they are a form of gene therapy (mRNA).
Even until this day, organisations claim these jabs are effective. Scientists Katalin Kariko and Drew Weissman won the 2023 Nobel Prize for their work on mRNA vaccines. The Nobel committee claimed their work had saved millions of lives. This claim has been rigorously debunked in the paper Quantitative evaluation of whether the Nobel-Prize-winning COVID-19 vaccine actually saved millions of lives authored by Denis G. Rancourt and Joseph Hickey.
The fact that these jabs did not work was not the biggest problem. These jabs were also causing serious harm. The number of reported vaccine injuries and deaths skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022. This reporting was consistent across many countries. See reports from the US, UK, and EU. The paper, COVID-19 vaccine-associated mortality in the Southern Hemisphere demonstrates a strong correlation between the introduction of the jabs and increasing death rates in 17 southern hemisphere countries. I discuss many of the problems relating to the Covid-19 response and the jabs in my post, My Concerns about the Covid-19 Vaccines.
Even though the number of jabs have declined and the number of deaths that can be directly linked to the jabs has fallen. The number of excess deaths in many of countries with high vaccine (jab) rates remain high.
I discuss most of the above in detail in my post, Covid-19 Crimes and Vaccine Fraud.
Does the Covid-19 Fiasco Align with the Deagel Predictions?
The countries most affected by the Covid-19 fiasco are predominantly western. This aligns quite closely with the countries Deagel.com predicted would most significantly be affected by rapid decline in population and income. Figure 1 contains the excess deaths (2022 and 2023) for the 15 countries most effected according to Deagel.com. Figure 2 contains the percentage of the population from these countries who received at least one jab.
Figure 1: Excess Deaths 2022 and 2023 for countries predicted to collapse
Source: Our World in Data
Figure 2: Percentage of population jabbed for countries predicted to collapse (early to mid-2022 data)
Source: Our World in Data
The excess deaths for most of these countries have been consistently positive for the past few years. Some of these countries have excess deaths consistently around 20% and higher. The most alarming increase is the number of younger people dying. For example in England and Wales. In 2022, for the age group 15 – 44, the death rate from cancer increased by 60% for men and 55% for women when compared with the average between 2010 and 2019 (Vigilant News). Figure 3 compares the number of cancer deaths for 2020, 2021, and 2022 across all groups.
Figure 3: England and Wales. Excess Deaths (%) vs, 2010-2019 trend for selected neoplasms
Source: Edward Dowd cited by Vigilant News
The problem is not limited to just increasing death rates. Since the Covid-19 fiasco, birth rates of many of the most heavily jabbed countries have fallen to record lows. The fertility rate for these countries have been consistently falling for several decades. However, recent data from countries such as Sweden and Australia indicates the rate of decline is increasing faster since the Covid-19 fiasco (Global Research).
Despite the increasing death rates and falling fertility, the populations of the countries expected to be worse hit continue to increase. This is because all the countries, except Puerto Rico, are experiencing sufficiently high net migration. This more than compensates for the higher death rates and lower birth rates (CIA).
Illegal migration might receive more attention in the media (discussed later in the series) but legal migration is a bigger driver of increasing populations in most western countries. For example, the UK, in 2022, experienced the highest net migration since World War 2. See Figure 4 below.
Figure 4: Migration UK (1964 to 2022)
Source: House of Commons Library
Despite economic stagnation and increasing populations caused by net migration, unemployment rates of western countries are low. For many countries, these are the lowest this century. See Figure 5 below.
Figure 5: Low and Falling Unemployment in Developed Countries
Source: OECD
A possibly explanation for low unemployment rates is the number of people who claim to be unable to work because of sickness; another consequence of the respsonses to Covid-19. In the UK, in 2022, an excess of around half a million people were unable to work because of long-term sickness. See Figure 6 below.
Figure 6: Number of People out of the Labour Market in the UK because of Sickness
Source: ONS
A similar situation could be occurring in the USA. Data indicates labour force participation is at its lowest in decades.
Figure 7: Labour Force Participation Rate in the US (1990 to 2022)
Source: Statista
Even the people who are able to work are falling sick more frequently and are taking considerably more time off work because of sickness. In the UK, in 2022, the number of working hours lost because of sickness was about 35% higher than 2019 (year before Covid-19). See Figure 8 below.
Figure 8: Days of Absenteeism because of Sickness in the UK
Source: ONS
The low unemployment rates, much of it caused by illnesses, has resulted in shortages of labour. If businesses cannot find the workers they need in the country, they employ workers from overseas. This demand for workers is driving legal migration higher.
It is also worth noting that despite net migration being at or near record highs so is emigration. Gradually, indigenous populations are being replaced with immigrants. I will discuss the implication of this further in a later part of this series.
Does the Covid-19 Fiasco Go Far Enough?
The damage caused by the Covid-19 fiasco is immense. However, on its own, it is not going to cause the collapse of western civilisation within the next few years. Current data suggests that Western economies are stagnating but not completing collapsing.
Despite the precarious position of western economies, people are still migrating to western countries and many big western businesses maintain significant operations on home soil; however, there are indications that this is changing (AEI). It is possible that the pressure will result in a meltdown of western countries in the next decade but it does not appear immediate.
I would argue that the Covid-19 fiasco is a step leading to complete collapse rather than the cause or even the final trigger. I believe western countries could be facing an even bigger threat than the Covid-19 fiasco. This has been triggered by the war between Israel and Hamas and the growing civil unrest in dozens of countries around the world (to be discussed in Part 3).
In addition to the Covid-19 fiasco, sanctions placed on Russia have compounded the pressure on economies and prices. I do not believe this has been as significant or as long-term as the Covid-19 fiasco. Therefore, I have not included them in this series. I have discussed the war between Russia and Ukraine in several other posts. For example, my posts, Russia Invades Ukraine: What is going on? and Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Winners and Losers (Part Two: Winners), touch on the impact of the sanctions on western economies.
For more and the latest information about the impact of the responses to Covid-19, I strongly recommend reading the abstracts and watching the presentations from the fourth International Crisis Summit held in Romania in November 2023.
More posts
I have several collection of posts. I have organised these collections based on content and purpose.
The first collection contains six collection posts created before PeakD had the collection feature. Four of these posts relate to the core of my content, one of them contains all my Actifit Posts, and one of them contains my video course ‘Economics is Everyone’.
The second collection consists of the posts that I consider define my channel. These posts are significant in terms of content as well as how they contribute to the growth of the channel. These posts reveal the most about what I believe in.
The third and fourth collection is what I call my ‘Freedom-base Economics living book’. They contain all the posts that support my ideas about the value and power of freedom. Some of these posts explain what we can achieve with freedom and what we need to utilise it. Some of them explain how we are deprived of freedom and how we often give up freedom for security and comfort. The third collection concludes with possible scenarios depending on what we (society) choose to do.
Hive: Future of Social Media
Spectrumecons on the Hive blockchain
